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Red227
580537.1
49872.9
656053.6
Blue151
68735.1
927130.2
945239.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173101050150200250300227151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave9
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
41Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#17
102Coral points62
3Processor algae#5
10Net algae#6
18Processor points30
40Net points24
58Algae points54
160Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#7
14L3#5
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
227Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#3
72.93.4
67.270.6
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
red by 33.4
9452
#30
39.51.9
36.238.0
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
Second
6560
#33
53.63.4
50.553.9
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 18.4
687
#31
35.11.9
32.734.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End7.3
Third
5805
#27
37.13.4
31.835.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
red by 6.9
9271
#25
30.21.9
27.229.0
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned