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Red206
212270.9
364745.4
119762.8
Blue181
330941.3
656053.6
519977.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178176140160200220206181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +34
30Coral scored#22
107Coral points79
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
24Processor points6
12Net points24
36Algae points30
143Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#12
11L3#5
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
206Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#12
70.92.5
65.067.5
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
blue by 6.9
77.80.7
74.274.9
Auto9.9
Teleop53.6
End14.3
Second
1197
#15
62.82.5
62.665.2
Auto18.4
Teleop37.1
End7.3
red by 9.2
6560
#33
53.60.7
53.954.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Third
3647
#26
45.42.5
38.440.9
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
red by 4.1
3309
#20
41.30.7
43.043.6
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned