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Red159
330941.3
212270.9
210249.0
Blue133
347672.0
407924.7
114831.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16897050150200250300350159133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points51
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
107Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#3
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
159Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#12
70.90.1
62.963.0
Auto14.6
Teleop48.3
End7.9
blue by 1.2
72.02.0
47.949.9
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
Second
2102
#13
49.00.1
40.640.7
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End8.8
red by 17.4
1148
#21
31.62.0
32.334.4
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Third
3309
#20
41.30.1
45.345.4
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
red by 16.6
4079
#36
24.72.0
19.121.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned