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Red123
699585.1
39938.3
656053.6
Blue170
49872.9
414141.2
723041.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186152100200250123170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
20Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
12Processor points24
28Net points24
40Algae points48
89Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
123Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#11
85.12.9
76.373.4
Auto18.8
Teleop56.2
End10.1
red by 12.1
498
#3
72.92.0
58.760.7
Auto15.0
Teleop47.9
End10.0
Second
6560
#33
53.62.9
48.245.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 12.3
4141
#19
41.22.0
43.145.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Third
399
#32
38.32.9
41.638.7
Auto6.9
Teleop26.3
End5.1
blue by 2.9
7230
#14
41.22.4
38.941.3
Auto11.9
Teleop26.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned