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Red179
330941.3
580537.1
359100.6
Blue180
945239.5
940881.2
325556.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18119104006008001,0001,200179180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
8Coral scored#5
39Coral points24
39Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
27Coral scored#28
98Coral points101
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
134Total teleop125
Reef
12L4#9
12L3#11
8L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
179Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
100.60.0
94.494.5
Auto22.7
Teleop65.7
End12.2
red by 19.4
81.20.6
85.685.0
Auto17.2
Teleop54.5
End9.5
Second
3309
#20
41.30.0
45.445.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 15.2
3255
#24
56.40.6
51.450.8
Auto7.3
Teleop42.9
End6.3
Third
5805
#27
37.10.0
29.629.6
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 2.4
9452
#30
39.50.6
38.537.8
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned