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Red249
347672.0
364745.4
427087.0
Blue211
432262.5
656053.6
312857.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208178100150250300249211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +18
31Coral scored#24
110Coral points86
7Processor algae#6
5Net algae#8
42Processor points36
20Net points32
62Algae points68
172Total teleop154
Reef
14L4#11
11L3#8
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
249Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.01.1
85.286.3
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
red by 24.5
4322
#22
62.50.9
61.962.7
Auto12.7
Teleop48.7
End1.1
Second
72.01.1
70.371.4
Auto14.0
Teleop50.1
End8.0
red by 14.2
3128
#10
57.90.9
57.358.1
Auto8.8
Teleop38.2
End10.8
Third
3647
#26
45.41.1
43.444.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End0.8
blue by 8.2
6560
#33
53.60.9
53.053.8
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5