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Red111
570027.9
325642.8
207357.5
Blue142
325730.1
76634.3
107257.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144112050100200111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#19
32Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
50Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#5
5L2#7
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
12Foul points6
111Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.52.0
57.655.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
red by 0.4
1072
#12
57.11.9
51.353.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
Second
3256
#27
42.82.0
41.939.9
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 8.5
766
#30
34.31.9
30.532.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
Third
5700
#38
27.92.0
29.527.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
blue by 2.1
3257
#36
30.11.9
25.827.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned