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Red72
70120.6
415945.9
348232.0
Blue84
605921.9
1127446.2
545826.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068202003004005007284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+10
Endgame+16
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
53Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
4Foul points0
72Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#20
45.91.7
38.136.4
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
blue by 0.3
46.20.4
40.040.4
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
3482
#21
32.01.7
34.332.6
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
red by 5.9
5458
#33
26.10.3
22.522.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Third
701
#22
20.61.7
20.518.9
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
blue by 1.3
6059
#34
21.90.3
17.417.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed