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Red139
84669.1
724510.5
415940.8
Blue47
264328.7
688415.8
170015.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1346305010015020013947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+90Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +73
23Coral scored#6
82Coral points21
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
112Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#2
10L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
139Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
69.11.3
62.363.5
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
red by 40.4
2643
#27
28.71.7
24.222.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
Second
40.81.3
35.737.0
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
red by 25.0
6884
#39
15.81.7
16.815.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Third
7245
#32
10.51.3
10.712.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 4.5
1700
#38
15.01.7
20.518.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed