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Red101
11537.4
248923.3
75125.9
Blue60
186832.5
688415.8
25323.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100882040608012014016010160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
62Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
101Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#14
37.40.7
34.635.3
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
red by 5.0
1868
#18
32.51.4
39.037.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
Second
751
#22
25.90.7
27.928.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
red by 2.5
253
#23
23.41.4
22.421.0
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
2489
#26
23.30.7
27.528.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 7.5
6884
#39
15.81.4
19.418.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed