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Red65
469825.7
135143.1
185412.3
Blue101
75125.9
499018.8
325653.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511105015020065101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
65Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
43.11.4
44.142.6
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
blue by 10.8
3256
#17
53.90.2
54.354.5
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
Second
4698
#29
25.71.4
34.332.8
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
blue by 0.2
751
#22
25.90.2
25.726.0
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
Third
1854
#33
12.32.2
7.85.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 6.4
4990
#31
18.80.2
17.517.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned