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Red126
325653.9
11537.4
85225.6
Blue83
490425.6
418616.8
76644.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128835010015020012683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
89Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
126Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
53.90.7
54.555.2
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
red by 9.6
766
#9
44.30.1
42.242.2
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
115
#14
37.40.7
34.234.9
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
red by 11.8
4904
#19
25.60.1
23.023.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Third
852
#20
25.60.7
27.227.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
red by 8.8
4186
#28
16.80.1
17.117.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed