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Red134
911420.1
698119.7
25479.6
Blue80
70124.0
752819.2
940028.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104722040608012014016018013480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
87Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#4
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
10Foul points0
134Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
79.63.0
61.564.5
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 51.6
9400
#25
28.00.5
24.224.7
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
Second
9114
#19
20.11.8
14.616.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
blue by 3.9
701
#26
24.00.5
26.727.2
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Third
6981
#23
19.73.0
18.421.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
red by 0.5
7528
#33
19.20.5
21.822.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed