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Red118
715741.2
876832.0
318932.5
Blue120
549933.6
348239.8
940028.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161036080140160118120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points72
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
82Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
118Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.21.0
42.843.9
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
red by 1.4
3482
#24
39.82.5
35.037.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
Second
32.51.0
31.332.4
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
blue by 1.2
33.62.5
31.333.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
8768
#12
32.01.0
28.329.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 4.0
9400
#25
28.02.5
27.429.9
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed