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Red135
517135.1
527420.0
25479.6
Blue101
452264.5
220434.8
713725.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128125110120130140150135101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
72Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
135Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
79.61.7
68.370.0
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 15.1
64.51.1
56.355.2
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
5171
#14
35.11.7
32.734.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 0.3
2204
#16
34.81.5
30.629.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Third
5274
#31
20.01.2
16.617.7
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
blue by 5.7
7137
#28
25.71.5
30.228.7
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed