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Red62
545828.7
713725.7
464318.0
Blue50
70124.0
359837.7
912518.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789502040601201401606250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
40Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
62Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#20
28.70.8
26.826.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
blue by 8.9
3598
#18
37.72.3
38.636.4
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Second
7137
#28
25.70.8
24.623.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
red by 1.7
701
#26
24.02.5
24.121.6
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Third
4643
#27
18.00.8
18.818.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 0.7
9125
#32
18.72.5
21.218.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed