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Red97
876832.0
413523.1
541949.1
Blue108
452264.5
19917.1
752819.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11494608012014016018097108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
86Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
97Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#15
49.10.3
47.046.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
blue by 15.4
64.51.2
56.757.9
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
8768
#12
32.00.3
31.631.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 12.8
7528
#33
19.21.3
17.919.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
4135
#30
23.10.4
23.423.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 5.9
199
#34
17.11.3
15.817.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned