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Red99
547429.0
3255B42.4
162214.6
Blue79
210242.4
312866.0
97307.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871590501002002509979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
67Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points2
99Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.44.1
42.438.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
blue by 23.6
66.03.8
73.569.7
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
Second
5474
#13
29.00.9
26.227.1
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9
blue by 13.4
42.43.8
46.342.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
Third
1622
#15
14.60.6
19.820.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 7.7
9730
#16
7.05.1
14.59.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned