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Red0
999512.5
999412.5
999912.5
Blue53
95739.6
551426.7
298416.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3660050100150053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +42
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop42
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
0Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
Unranked
12.51.6
14.112.5
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1
blue by 14.1
5514
#12
26.70.0
26.826.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Second
9995
Unranked
12.51.6
14.112.5
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1
blue by 3.6
2984
#10
16.10.0
16.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
9999
Unranked
12.51.6
14.112.5
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1
red by 3.0
9573
#14
9.60.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4