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Red53
351249.5
950515.3
203528.1
Blue90
1021215.6
884017.9
603669.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731042040601201401605390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
12Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +27
7Coral scored#14
25Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
35Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
53Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.5
35.934.4
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
blue by 20.0
6036
#13
69.50.1
60.660.6
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
2035
#29
28.11.1
20.919.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
red by 10.2
8840
#39
17.90.1
8.68.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Third
9505
#41
15.31.4
10.28.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
blue by 0.3
15.60.1
19.019.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed