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Qual 312025 Central Valley Regional
Red57
884017.9
414143.1
96822.0
Blue103
347335.4
619121.7
10043.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410905015020025057103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+52
Endgame+38
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
28Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points8
57Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#19
43.11.3
39.9→38.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8
blue by 0.7
100
#15
43.70.1
32.9→33.0
Auto11.2
Teleop28.4
End4.1
Second
968
#35
22.01.3
20.6→19.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 13.4
3473
#24
35.40.1
36.3→36.4
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Third
8840
#39
17.91.3
13.4→12.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 3.9
6191
#30
21.70.1
22.1→22.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed