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Red145
167159.8
351249.5
630523.6
Blue94
414143.1
513741.9
566544.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412510012014016018014594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
99Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
145Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.1
50.851.9
Auto16.1
Teleop37.4
End6.3
red by 15.6
5665
#21
44.22.0
37.435.4
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Second
49.51.1
43.444.5
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
red by 6.4
4141
#19
43.12.0
38.636.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8
Third
6305
#27
23.61.1
22.823.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
blue by 18.3
41.92.0
34.732.7
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed