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Red137
107263.9
688419.4
665742.9
Blue88
603669.5
508923.7
858521.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371238010016018020022013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
79Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#4
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
137Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.4
59.761.2
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
blue by 5.7
6036
#13
69.51.3
70.669.3
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
42.91.4
40.341.8
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
red by 19.3
5089
#34
23.71.3
22.220.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Third
6884
#23
19.41.4
15.216.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 2.5
8585
#38
21.91.3
14.613.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed