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Red116
432256.3
264329.0
1021215.6
Blue76
970617.6
228852.1
876837.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081245015020011676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +30
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
89Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
116Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#12
56.30.9
52.753.6
Auto14.1
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 4.2
2288
#11
52.12.1
45.143.0
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
Second
2643
#26
29.00.9
23.023.9
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
blue by 8.1
8768
#31
37.12.1
36.534.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End2.0
Third
15.60.9
20.621.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 2.0
9706
#37
17.63.5
25.822.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed