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Red188
119782.6
96822.0
107263.9
Blue174
581758.1
213543.7
228852.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173155100120140180200220240188174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
23Coral scored#24
83Coral points88
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
121Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#11
10L3#8
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
188Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.6
80.981.4
Auto23.2
Teleop49.4
End10.0
red by 24.5
5817
#18
58.10.5
57.558.0
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
Second
63.90.6
62.162.6
Auto19.4
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 11.8
2288
#11
52.10.5
51.551.9
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
Third
968
#35
22.00.6
20.220.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 21.7
2135
#17
43.70.5
43.043.5
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4