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Red94
29439.6
69649.6
68722.8
Blue40
512425.6
555320.2
886113.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056402040801201401609440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
72Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points8
94Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
49.60.2
31.831.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
red by 24.1
5124
#24
25.63.3
21.918.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
294
#5
39.60.2
26.826.5
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
red by 19.3
5553
#27
20.23.3
16.913.7
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
687
#33
22.80.2
31.531.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
red by 9.3
8861
#40
13.53.3
22.519.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed