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Red81
69649.6
115911.9
555320.2
Blue78
145215.5
961519.9
258435.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6665304050607080901008178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
74Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
81Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
49.62.1
34.436.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
red by 14.1
2584
#19
35.60.6
34.134.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Second
5553
#27
20.22.1
13.415.5
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
red by 0.3
9615
#35
19.91.0
12.513.5
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Third
1159
#37
11.91.3
11.713.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 3.6
1452
#14
15.50.6
13.714.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned