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Red57
59931.6
512425.6
69049.3
Blue14
886113.5
950510.2
8898-0.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5538020801005714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+33Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
6Coral scored#2
20Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
30Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points2
57Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#9
31.60.3
22.422.2
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
red by 18.1
8861
#40
13.52.8
17.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Second
5124
#24
25.60.3
14.814.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 15.3
9505
#42
10.22.8
15.813.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Third
6904
#38
9.30.2
10.310.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
red by 9.9
8898
#43
-0.62.8
4.61.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed