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Red101
566916.2
512425.6
70245.3
Blue73
68722.8
258435.6
69049.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6372020030040050060070010173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
69Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
101Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#13
45.32.6
35.738.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
red by 9.7
2584
#19
35.60.5
34.635.1
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Second
5124
#24
25.64.4
15.119.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 2.7
687
#33
22.80.9
22.423.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
5669
#31
16.22.6
10.713.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
red by 6.9
6904
#38
9.30.5
8.28.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned