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Red117
96816.7
432245.5
784041.2
Blue102
375929.5
29439.6
70245.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109122050150200250117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+1Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
74Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
117Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#10
45.50.3
46.446.7
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 0.2
702
#13
45.30.4
45.745.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
Second
41.20.3
42.142.4
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 1.6
294
#5
39.60.5
40.139.6
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
Third
968
#26
16.70.3
17.617.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 12.8
3759
#32
29.50.4
29.929.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2