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Red86
114836.8
665814.6
69649.6
Blue101
447027.8
59931.6
98028.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109440608010012014016086101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
57Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points12
86Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
49.60.6
49.148.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
red by 18.0
599
#9
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
1148
#25
36.80.5
36.435.9
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 8.3
980
#17
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Third
6658
#21
14.60.4
14.213.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
blue by 13.2
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8