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Red87
97229.5
281340.9
804832.0
Blue92
58161.1
247337.6
527415.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610260801201408792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
67Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
87Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
29.029.2
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
blue by 20.1
581
#2
61.10.3
41.842.1
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Second
8048
#29
32.00.2
26.626.8
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
blue by 5.6
37.60.3
27.227.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
972
#16
29.50.2
29.429.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
red by 13.9
5274
#18
15.60.3
20.220.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned