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Red58
167138.5
548017.7
207320.1
Blue162
60464.3
304542.9
576015.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106932040608012014016018058162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+100
Endgame+86
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +76
8Coral scored#25
28Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
38Total teleop114
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#8
1L2#8
1L1 · trough#6
11Game pieces#35
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points18
58Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
38.54.8
29.024.2
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 25.8
604
#3
64.35.7
42.748.3
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
Second
2073
#22
20.14.8
34.730.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 22.8
42.95.7
26.031.7
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
Third
5480
#24
17.74.8
25.921.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
red by 2.5
5760
#27
15.25.7
13.218.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed