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Red121
473855.7
244337.2
550022.1
Blue39
669511.8
271029.1
350120.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078205015020012139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+60Teleop
+58Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
15Coral scored#2
53Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
67Total teleop10
Reef
9L4#2
3L3#1
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
24Foul points0
121Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.4
38.438.8
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 26.6
2710
#16
29.13.8
24.420.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Second
37.20.4
31.031.4
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
red by 16.8
3501
#34
20.43.8
31.928.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
5500
#19Sur
22.10.4
17.618.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 10.2
6695
#37Sur
11.83.8
16.913.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed