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Red115
347333.0
803360.0
741519.5
Blue128
441559.4
699550.5
385912.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9498050150200115128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
6Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
87Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
115Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.5
43.545.0
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 0.6
59.43.1
39.442.6
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
Second
3473
#38
33.01.5
22.624.1
Auto3.7
Teleop26.6
End2.7
blue by 17.4
50.53.1
31.734.8
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
Third
7415
#46
19.51.5
18.119.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
red by 6.9
3859
#26
12.53.1
17.620.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned