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Red170
519958.4
473855.7
803360.0
Blue73
499921.8
427627.4
248630.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277205010015020017073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+85Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points13
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +68
23Coral scored#10
82Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
118Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#5
7L2#2
7L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
170Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.05.0
36.841.8
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 29.8
2486
#20
30.21.7
27.726.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Second
58.45.0
35.540.5
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
red by 31.0
4276
#29
27.41.7
23.121.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Third
55.75.0
34.539.5
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 33.9
4999
#22
21.81.7
17.315.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed