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Red75
927121.7
350120.4
407932.6
Blue117
347333.0
704220.0
414134.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899660708010011012013075117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
61Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points0
75Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#21
32.61.6
34.232.6
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
4141
#11
34.62.2
33.635.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Second
9271
#33
21.71.6
23.221.7
Auto2.1
Teleop14.1
End5.5
blue by 11.4
3473
#38
33.02.2
32.134.3
Auto3.7
Teleop26.6
End2.7
Third
3501
#34
20.41.6
21.419.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 0.4
7042
#41
20.02.2
17.820.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed