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Red141
803360.0
350120.4
473855.7
Blue164
940854.1
300924.0
519958.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14513850100200250141164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
72Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points4
141Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.859.9
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 1.6
58.40.8
56.156.8
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
55.70.1
55.555.6
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 1.5
9408
#12
54.10.8
51.652.4
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Third
3501
#34
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 3.6
3009
#30
24.00.8
21.422.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9