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Red145
803360.0
350120.4
473855.7
Blue115
347637.4
248630.2
723038.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441056080120160180200145115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#15
72Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
90Total teleop69
Reef
14L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points0
145Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.959.8
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 21.1
38.90.3
38.638.9
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Second
55.70.1
55.655.5
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 18.3
3476
#14
37.40.3
37.137.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Third
3501
#34
20.40.1
20.420.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 9.7
2486
#20
30.20.3
29.930.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6