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Red97
581736.9
254331.3
421.4
Blue105
386337.7
1012032.7
98816.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12358010015097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+20
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
70Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points0
97Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#13
36.91.7
33.131.3
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
blue by 0.8
37.75.2
24.229.4
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Second
31.31.7
32.030.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
blue by 1.4
32.75.2
21.026.2
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
4
#33
21.41.7
29.527.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 5.2
988
#26
16.15.2
7.913.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned