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Red34
421.4
953412.8
283919.4
Blue92
210222.2
665817.4
325561.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631120501001502003492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+44
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
34Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#33
21.42.4
23.721.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
blue by 40.6
61.90.3
56.356.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
2839
#42
19.42.4
21.819.4
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 2.8
2102
#28
22.20.3
21.821.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
9534
#44
12.82.4
15.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 4.7
6658
#19
17.40.3
17.817.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned