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Red176
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
Blue124
49844.0
258440.1
39933.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162122100150200250176124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
30Coral scored#21
108Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
132Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#6
10L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
176Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.8
59.159.9
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 18.0
498
#10
44.00.1
43.844.0
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
Second
58.80.8
56.056.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 18.7
40.10.1
39.940.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
Third
9599
#35
31.20.8
28.429.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 1.8
399
#31
33.10.1
32.933.1
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4