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Red255
167898.2
64920.2
1323116.9
Blue216
60487.7
914338.9
347877.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255215150200300255216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
14Coral scored#10
69Coral points51
72Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +19
34Coral scored#27
121Coral points98
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
12Processor points24
24Net points16
36Algae points40
157Total teleop138
Reef
23L4#10
12L3#12
8L2#10
5L1 · trough#5
56Game pieces#45
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
255Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.90.5
116.4116.9
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 29.2
604
#3
87.70.3
87.487.7
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
Second
98.20.5
97.898.2
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
red by 21.2
77.00.3
76.777.0
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
Third
649
#38
20.20.5
19.720.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 18.8
9143
#28
38.90.3
38.638.9
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4