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Red106
325656.3
766731.8
1033918.9
Blue119
67054.3
696238.2
840419.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10587050150200106119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+17
Endgame+9
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
79Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points10
106Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.6
43.143.8
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
red by 2.0
670
#8
54.32.1
38.040.1
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Second
7667
#39
31.80.7
31.832.5
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
blue by 6.4
6962
#21
38.22.1
19.721.8
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Third
18.90.6
15.716.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
blue by 0.5
8404
#27
19.42.8
19.822.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed