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Red168
60487.7
840419.4
666231.4
Blue164
1323116.9
766731.8
800616.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124187100150200250168164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +10
21Coral scored#23
77Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
119Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#8
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points12
168Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.72.7
69.071.8
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
blue by 29.2
116.90.7
111.8111.1
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
Second
6662
#26
31.42.7
22.625.4
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
blue by 0.4
7667
#39
31.80.7
33.833.1
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
Third
8404
#27
19.42.7
23.326.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
red by 3.3
8006
#35
16.10.7
11.811.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned