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Red148
359835.5
107255.2
666231.4
Blue204
183641.6
67054.3
60487.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12218050100150200250148204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +25
26Coral scored#29
93Coral points104
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
125Total teleop150
Reef
7L4#15
11L3#7
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
148Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.22.2
49.852.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
blue by 32.5
604
#3
87.72.4
76.879.2
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
Second
3598
#23
35.51.3
38.239.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
blue by 18.8
670
#8
54.32.4
45.347.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Third
6662
#26
31.41.3
28.830.2
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
blue by 10.1
1836
#17
41.62.4
35.137.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned