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Red167
741319.5
60487.7
527436.0
Blue96
666533.4
325656.3
977725.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612310020025016796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+79Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +58
24Coral scored#12
88Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
128Total teleop70
Reef
12L4#6
7L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
167Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.71.6
80.582.1
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 31.4
56.31.6
48.847.2
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
Second
5274
#14
36.01.6
31.933.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
red by 2.5
6665
#11
33.41.6
35.133.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Third
7413
#32
19.51.6
19.821.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 6.2
9777
#18
25.71.6
24.422.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned