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Red92
196745.1
666231.4
752820.4
Blue20
543016.3
1033918.9
740115.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1105801001502009220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#0
6Processor points0
24Net points0
30Algae points0
64Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
6Foul points0
92Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.7
42.041.3
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
red by 26.2
18.92.6
22.820.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Second
6662
#26
31.40.7
31.330.7
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
red by 15.1
5430
#37
16.32.6
17.815.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
7528
#20
20.40.7
19.518.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
red by 5.1
7401
#33
15.23.7
15.511.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed