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Red169
107255.2
527436.0
84046.3
Blue32
359835.5
752820.4
741319.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018005015020025030016932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+115Teleop
+127Endgame
+137Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +98
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points10
4Processor algae#0
8Net algae#0
24Processor points0
32Net points0
56Algae points0
108Total teleop10
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +137
12Foul points2
169Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.27.7
25.933.7
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
red by 19.6
3598
#23
35.52.9
37.734.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
Second
840
#10
46.34.6
41.446.1
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
red by 25.9
7528
#20
20.42.9
19.216.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Third
5274
#14
36.04.6
20.024.6
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
red by 16.4
7413
#32
19.52.9
17.014.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed