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Red97
914338.9
666231.4
1033918.9
Blue118
527436.0
85233.0
413526.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981025015020097118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
81Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#12
6L3#5
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
97Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9143
#28
38.90.5
38.638.2
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
red by 3.0
5274
#14
36.00.9
33.434.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
Second
6662
#26
31.40.5
30.730.2
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
blue by 1.5
852
#16
33.00.9
32.733.6
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Third
18.90.5
20.319.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
blue by 7.2
4135
#30
26.10.9
26.127.0
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed